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$300 Billion. One Very Inconvenient Supply Chain.
Global startup investment hit $300 billion in Q1 2026 — 80% driven by AI. Four companies took 65% of it. The number is historic. But that capital assumes the chips exist to build what it's funding. They might not.

Rich Washburn
2 days ago3 min read


The Gilded Cage: How Microsoft Almost Killed OpenAI's Enterprise Future
OpenAI's CRO just admitted in a leaked memo that their Microsoft partnership limited their ability to reach enterprise customers. This is the story of a gilded cage, a Claude cult, and a slow-motion divorce.

Rich Washburn
3 days ago4 min read


The Gulf of America Is Open for Business
121 empty oil tankers are headed to the US. Oil just crossed $102. Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has stopped. The Gulf of America is open for business — and the only country positioned to fill the gap is us.

Rich Washburn
4 days ago3 min read


Sam Altman Just Published His Terms of Surrender
Sam Altman's 13-page AI New Deal sounds generous on the surface. I read it as something else — a man who knows what's coming writing the terms before someone else does. Here's what the Altman model actually means, and why Musk's compute allocation idea is the more important conversation.

Rich Washburn
4 days ago4 min read


The Stack That Changes Everything
Nvidia, Tesla, xAI, and SpaceX aren't competing with each other. They're assembling a vertical stack from silicon to space. Here's what that means — and where the real bottleneck still lives.

Rich Washburn
4 days ago5 min read


The IMF Just Rang the Fire Alarm. And It's Not Just One Company.
Two of the most advanced AI labs in the world have independently built models so capable at hacking they won't release them publicly. The IMF is alarmed. So is the Fed. Here's what's actually happening.

Rich Washburn
5 days ago4 min read


You Can Protest AI. You Cannot Stop It.
Someone firebombed Sam Altman's house. And while we argue about whether to pause, China is not pausing.

Rich Washburn
6 days ago4 min read


Visa Just Gave AI Agents a Credit Card. With Spending Limits.
There's a moment every parent knows. You hand your kid a credit card for the first time. You've set the limit. You've had the talk. And then you let go. Visa just had that moment with AI agents — and it changes everything about how autonomous commerce works.

Rich Washburn
Apr 94 min read


The Era of Mathematical Leverage Has Begun. Here's What That Actually Means.
Every few centuries, something changes in how human civilization does work. Not the tools. Not the industry. The underlying logic of how capability compounds. We are living inside one of those moments right now.

Rich Washburn
Apr 85 min read


The Actress Who Just Outsmarted the AI Memory Industry
Milla Jovovich is best known for saving humanity in post-apocalyptic fiction. Last week, she may have done something more useful.

Rich Washburn
Apr 83 min read


The Signs Are Everywhere. Math Is Eating the Physical World Now.
Disney Research, Google DeepMind, and NVIDIA just open-sourced a GPU-accelerated physics simulation engine. It's not just a robotics tool. It's the next proof that math is eating every constraint hardware can't solve.

Rich Washburn
Apr 85 min read


Jensen Huang Just Described Bitcoin Without Knowing It
Jensen Huang said AI needs a system of record to know what's actually true. He was describing enterprise software. But the logical architecture he outlined points somewhere else entirely.

Rich Washburn
Apr 65 min read


Anthropic Just Showed You Exactly Who They Are
Anthropic cut off 135,000 OpenClaw instances, handed its biggest developer ecosystem to OpenAI, then announced $30B in revenue and a multi-gigawatt compute deal — all in the same week. The pattern has a name.

Rich Washburn
Apr 65 min read


Google Just Handed the Open Source World a Nuclear Weapon
Google dropped Gemma 4 — four open-source models, Apache 2.0, running locally on consumer hardware, ranking #3 in the world. The open source agent community wired it into OpenClaw within hours. Here's why this changes everything.

Rich Washburn
Apr 65 min read


Compute Is the Only Play
TSMC just guided to $52–56 billion in capex for 2026. McKinsey puts the global data center race at $7 trillion. The infrastructure layer is the only play that matters.

Rich Washburn
Apr 53 min read


Stop Looking for a Job. Build a Toolbox.
AI isn't replacing people. It's replacing unstructured effort. Here's the framework that changes everything — and it starts with one stupid small problem.

Rich Washburn
Apr 45 min read


The Canary Is Dead
Five signals. One conclusion. The grid hit its limit at the very beginning of the demand curve — before 84% of humanity ever typed a prompt. The canary has been dead for a while.

Rich Washburn
Apr 33 min read


$710 Billion and Nowhere to Plug It In
$710 billion committed. Grid queues running 3-5 years. Virginia is full. The bottleneck isn't compute — it's power, and permitted energized land just became a new asset class.

Rich Washburn
Apr 34 min read


When Wall Street Builds a Team, Follow the Money
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Jefferies have all stood up dedicated AI infrastructure investment banking practices in the last 90 days. When the banks build teams, the capital follows.

Rich Washburn
Apr 34 min read


Welcome to the Future
Three people. One room. Fifteen calls. Two meetings playing simultaneously in the same ear. This is what the front lines of the AI infrastructure build-out actually look like.

Rich Washburn
Apr 23 min read
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