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Artificial Intelligence: Navigating the Future

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Rich Washburn
Technologist/CEH 

richwashburn.com/navy

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70 Years of AI:
How We Got Here

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Alan Turing travelled to the United States in December 1942, to advise US military intelligence in the use of Bombe machines and to share his knowledge of Enigma. Whilst there, he also saw the latest American progress on a top secret speech enciphering system.

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Ai Timeline:

 

1942: Alan Turing builds Bombe machine during WWII revolutionizing code-breaking.

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1956: Term "artificial intelligence" coined.

1965: First expert system, Dendral, was developed.

1966: Stanford Research Institute developed Shakey.

1968: Terry Winograd created SHRDLU.

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1997: IBM's Deep Blue defeated Garry Kasparov.

 

2000: "A Neural Probabilistic Language Model" published.

2006: Fei-Fei Li started working on the ImageNet visual database.

2006: IBM Watson originated.

2009: Idea of using GPUs to train large neural networks presented.

 

2011: First CNN to achieve "superhuman" performance developed.

2011: Apple released Siri.

2012: Deep CNN architecture won the ImageNet challenge.

2013: China's Tianhe-2 doubled the world's top supercomputing speed.

2013: DeepMind introduced deep reinforcement learning.

2013: Word2vec introduced.

2014: Generative adversarial networks invented.

2014: Variational autoencoders introduced.

2014: Facebook developed DeepFace.

2016: DeepMind's AlphaGo defeated top Go player Lee Sedol.

2018: OpenAI released GPT.

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2019: Deep learning algorithm outperformed radiologists.

 

2020: DeepMind's AlphaFold system won protein-folding contest.

2022: Google software engineer Blake Lemoine was fired.

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2023: OpenAI announced the GPT-4 multimodal LLM.

2023: Elon Musk and others urged a pause on training powerful AI systems.

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Machine Learning & Neural Networks

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Core AI components like Machine Learning & Neural Networks have been integrated into everyday devices for years.

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Current AI Models

Intelligence as a Service

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Statistical Prediction

Large Language Models (LLMs) & Generative Pre-trained Transformers (GPTs).

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AI in Modern Military & Naval Applications

Real-Time Data Processing:

Ingests and processes battlefield and operational data faster than humanly possible.

 

Example: Predictive logistics in military supply chains. Predict equipment failure or optimize fuel usage.​

Battlefield Intelligence & Response Times:

Shortening decision cycles (the "OODA loop" - Observe, Orient, Decide, Act).

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Tactical intelligence: Drones or unmanned vehicles that can autonomously scout and report in hostile environments, shortening the time between intelligence gathering and response.

Manta Ray

 

Uncrewed support for long-duration undersea missions, going where humans can’t.

Simulating Experience:

"Real World" Adaptive Simulations for training that represent real scenarios.

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AI systems analyze firing posture, aiming, and performance to provide bespoke feedback.

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The Future of Warfare is AI

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  • Autonomous Systems: From AI-driven drones to autonomous naval ships, AI enables rapid deployment and enhanced operational efficiency.

  • Real-Time Data Mastery: AI systems can process and analyze vast quantities of data instantaneously, providing actionable intelligence faster than human teams.

  • Predictive Warfare: AI enhances decision-making by predicting enemy movements and optimizing tactical responses.

  • Human-AI Collaboration: Future warfare will be defined by human commanders working alongside AI, leveraging its speed and precision in complex scenarios.

ARIA NAVY Scenario 1
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1. Healthcare

   - Medical diagnostics and imaging

   - Personalized medicine

   - Drug discovery and development

   - Telemedicine and AI-powered health chatbots

   - AI-assisted surgery (robotic surgery)

 

2. Finance

   - Algorithmic trading

   - Fraud detection

   - Risk management and credit scoring

   - Financial advising and robo-advisors

   - Automated customer service (AI-powered chatbots)

 

3. Manufacturing

   - Predictive maintenance and equipment monitoring

   - Quality control with computer vision

   - Supply chain optimization

   - Robotics and automation in assembly lines

   - AI-driven design and simulation

 

4. Retail and E-Commerce

   - Personalized recommendations and dynamic pricing

   - Customer service via AI chatbots

   - Inventory management and automated warehousing

   - Visual search and AI-assisted shopping

   - Demand forecasting

 

5. Transportation and Logistics

   - Autonomous vehicles (self-driving cars, trucks, drones)

   - Route optimization and traffic management

   - Predictive maintenance for vehicles and infrastructure

   - Supply chain and logistics automation

   - Fleet management

 

6. Energy

   - Smart grid management and energy distribution

   - Predictive analytics for equipment and infrastructure

   - AI-powered renewable energy solutions (wind, solar)

   - Energy consumption optimization

   - Autonomous energy trading systems

 

7. Education

   - Personalized learning and AI tutors

   - Automated grading and feedback

   - AI-driven curriculum design

   - Virtual classrooms and augmented reality (AR) for education

   - Learning management systems with adaptive learning pathways

 

8. Entertainment and Media

   - Content creation (AI-generated music, art, writing)

   - Recommendation systems for streaming platforms

   - Deepfake technology for video production

   - Audience analysis and marketing optimization

   - Virtual and augmented reality experiences

 

9. Agriculture

   - Precision farming (drones, satellite imagery analysis)

   - Predictive analytics for crop yields and weather patterns

   - Automated irrigation systems

   - Livestock health monitoring and management

   - Robotics for planting, harvesting, and maintenance

 

10. Real Estate

   - AI-driven property valuation

   - Predictive analytics for market trends

   - Virtual property tours with AI assistants

   - Smart home technology integration

   - Automated property management

 

11. Legal

   - AI-powered legal research and document review

   - Contract analysis and automation

   - Predictive analytics for case outcomes

   - AI-driven litigation support

   - Chatbots for legal advice and customer service

 

12. Human Resources

   - AI-driven recruitment and applicant screening

   - Workforce management and employee performance analytics

   - Chatbots for employee assistance and onboarding

   - Predictive analytics for employee retention

   - AI-assisted talent development and training programs

 

13. Cybersecurity

   - Threat detection and response automation

   - AI-powered encryption and data protection

   - Predictive analytics for cyber threat trends

   - Automated penetration testing and vulnerability assessments

   - Identity verification and fraud prevention

 

14. Telecommunications

   - Network optimization and predictive maintenance

   - AI-powered customer support and troubleshooting

   - 5G network management and optimization

   - AI-driven content delivery and bandwidth allocation

   - Call center automation

 

15. Insurance

   - Risk assessment and underwriting automation

   - Fraud detection and claims processing

   - AI-driven personalized insurance products

   - Predictive analytics for customer behavior and retention

   - AI-powered customer service and chatbots

 

16. Marketing and Advertising

   - AI-driven content creation and personalization

   - Customer behavior analysis and segmentation

   - Automated ad placement and bidding

   - Predictive analytics for market trends

   - Influencer marketing and sentiment analysis

 

17. Public Sector and Government

   - Predictive analytics for policy-making

   - Smart city infrastructure (traffic management, public safety)

   - Fraud detection and welfare program optimization

   - Automated document processing and citizen services

   - AI-assisted law enforcement and surveillance

 

18. Aerospace and Defense

   - Autonomous drones and AI-driven reconnaissance

   - Predictive maintenance for aircraft

   - AI-powered weapon systems and battlefield analytics

   - Simulated training environments (AI-powered virtual reality)

   - Cyber warfare and defense strategies

 

19. Hospitality and Travel

   - Personalized travel recommendations

   - Dynamic pricing and yield management

   - Automated check-ins and AI-driven customer service

   - Virtual travel experiences and AI-guided tours

   - Predictive analytics for customer behavior and trends

 

20. Construction

   - AI-powered project management and cost estimation

   - Robotics for construction automation

   - Predictive analytics for project delays and resource allocation

   - Building design and optimization using AI models

   - Safety monitoring and compliance through computer vision

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Thank You!

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